Are Any Of MLBs Breakout Teams For Real

Are Any Of MLBs Breakout Teams For Real

RangersAL West14-1314591473+14+4 MarinersAL West18-1314911497+7+3 CardinalsNL Central18-1015251537+12+23 TeamDivisionRecordPreseasonCurrentEloPlayoff odds We can break the most improved teams into a couple of groups. One features teams that were on the edge of contention before the season and whose hot starts solidified them as teams to be reckoned with in the playoff race. The other contains clubs who were not “supposed” to be this good (or even good at all) in the eyes of the preseason projections. These teams are in an interesting spot because their playoff odds are still low despite their promising showings. So how well they maintain their surprising performances will have a big effect on their decision-making around July’s trade deadline.Playing themselves into contentionNo team has improved its playoff odds more in April than the Tampa Bay Rays, who had a 42 percent shot at the postseason on opening day but as of Tuesday boasted a 74 percent chance to make the playoffs. Some of that is a byproduct of Boston’s poor start — the Red Sox had shed an MLB-high 39 points of playoff probability since starting the season — but the Rays are also a great example of a team that makes shrewd acquisitions and gets the most out of its talent. In addition to known commodities Tommy Pham, Kevin Kiermaier and Blake Snell, Tampa is also getting unexpectedly great performances out of infielders Yandy Diaz and Brandon Lowe, right fielder Austin Meadows1Who is currently on the injured list. and pitcher Tyler Glasnow. Some of that quartet’s early numbers are bound to revert to the mean, but Diaz, Lowe and Meadows all rank among the top 20 percent of hitters in exit velocity, and Glasnow has elite underlying indicators. Although the injury-plagued Yankees are the AL East favorites in our model, no team currently has better wild-card odds than Tampa Bay.As we mentioned before the season, the Minnesota Twins figured to be right in the most precarious zone between making and missing the postseason. A few extra wins here or there, and the Twins’ playoff odds would increase massively; a few extra losses, and they might be left out in the October cold. So Minnesota has done itself a huge favor by getting off to a 17-10 start, which is third-best in baseball. Obvious star candidates such as Byron Buxton and Jose Berrios have played well, but the Twins’ hot April was fueled even more by breakout seasons from the likes of Jorge Polanco (162 adjusted on-base plus slugging), Eddie Rosario (130) and even catcher Mitch Garver (203). Minnesota’s rotation has huge questions beyond Berrios and Jake Odorizzi, but with the Indians’ talent advantage in the AL Central diminished relative to previous seasons, the Twins have played their way into what could be the division’s most interesting race in years.The St. Louis Cardinals are a little different from the Rays and Twins because we basically listed them as co-favorites (with the Brewers and Cubs) in the NL Central during spring training. Still, with an 85-win projection on the heels of a three-year playoff drought, the Cards’ postseason fate was far from assured. The team’s hot start, however, has set St. Louis up with a 67 percent chance of making the playoffs as of Tuesday — 23 percentage points higher than it was before the season started. Prized offseason acquisition Paul Goldschmidt has been his usual self, while lineup mates Paul DeJong, Marcell Ozuna, Kolten Wong and Dexter Fowler have exploded for huge seasons so far. It’s fair to wonder how long some of that can last: At age 33, Fowler is a little old to suddenly emerge as a 5-win player, while DeJong has a .607 slugging percentage despite an average exit velocity in the bottom third of MLB. But by the same token, the Cardinals’ pitching is probably better than its current 25th-place ranking in wins above replacement,2Using a mix of the WAR versions found at FanGraphs and Baseball-Reference.com. particularly once Carlos Martinez returns from injury this month. Whatever happens, St. Louis has given itself the early edge in a brutal division race.We’re good! OK, now what?The Texas Rangers got everybody’s attention over the weekend by blistering the Seattle Mariners by a combined score of 29-2 in back-to-back games. The Rangers are 14-14, but they also have a +9 run differential against a schedule that ranks second-toughest in baseball so far, according to the average Elo rating of its opponents. Texas wasn’t supposed to be competitive like this: They haven’t broken .500 since 2016, and they lost longtime franchise cornerstone Adrian Beltre to retirement over the offseason. But the team has seen a handful of pleasant surprises early on — starting with pitcher Mike Minor, who boasts the eighth-best adjusted earned run average (174) in the AL. Left fielder Joey Gallo has launched 10 home runs already, Elvis Andrus and Shin-Soo Choo have produced vintage seasons, and Danny Santana has recaptured the form that saw him vie for rookie of the year honors in 2014. But even with all that, Texas is still just third in the AL West, and our model gives it only a 7 percent chance of making the playoffs. In the race to the bottom for better picks, the Rangers were looking before the season like they might get a top-five selection in next summer’s MLB draft, but now their hot start might have them rethinking their rebuilding trajectory for the time being.Similarly, the Arizona Diamondbacks seemed destined for a rebuild after trading Goldschmidt to the Cardinals and watching free agents such as Patrick Corbin walk during the winter. Yet those plans might need to be put on hold in light of the team’s 17-13 start. According to our model, the D-backs on Tuesday had a 35 percent chance to make the playoffs (up 12 percentage points from preseason) and are on track to win 83 games, which would actually be an improvement on last year’s record despite the offseason talent exodus. First baseman Christian Walker (151 OPS+) has come out of nowhere with a scorching start, Zack Greinke continues to pitch like an ace, and closer Greg Holland hasn’t yet allowed a run. Arizona has gotten strong performances up and down the lineup, including from the likes of David Peralta, Adam Jones, Ketel Marte, Eduardo Escobar, Nick Ahmed and Jarrod Dyson. The Dodgers look too good to realistically be chased down in the West, but the D-backs are still in the NL’s playoff race, however improbably.The Seattle Mariners have cooled off some after their 13-2 start, going 5-12 since April 11. Even so, they’re another team with better playoff odds (15 percent as of Tuesday) than we’d expect from their offseason dealings — which included losing free agent slugger Nelson Cruz and trading ace pitcher James Paxton, closer Edwin Diaz and star second baseman Robinson Cano. Even through its recent slump, Seattle maintains MLB’s third-highest batting WAR courtesy of big years from Daniel Vogelbach (224 OPS+ !), Omar Narvaez (140) and Tim Beckham (139), to go with the usual mashing by Edwin Encarnacion (136), Domingo Santana (131) and Mitch Haniger (131). Starter Marco Gonzalez has also delivered an unexpectedly great season thus far, with a 150 ERA+ that has him leading the AL in pitching WAR. Seattle’s big home run rate (4.7 percent of all plate appearances) is out of line with its batted-ball metrics, and the team’s defense remains abysmal, so it’s no surprise that a regression has already begun to set in. But by virtue of their early record — still among the best in baseball — the Mariners will have to decide whether to try to end the franchise’s long-running playoff drought by making upgrades this season or to keep biding their time for a future postseason run.Check out our latest MLB predictions.CORRECTION (May 2, 2019, 11:40 a.m.): An earlier version of the table in this story listed the wrong division for three teams. The Tampa Bay Rays and Toronto Blue Jays play in the AL East, and the Philadelphia Phillies play in the NL East. RaysAL East19-915251539+13+32 D-backsNL West16-1314971510+12+12 Blue JaysAL East14-1414821488+6+2 CubsNL Central14-1215211527+6+6 MLB’s most improved teams since preseasonMLB teams with the largest change in FiveThirtyEight’s Elo ratings between opening day and April 30, 2019 Elo Ratingschange TwinsAL Central17-915081520+13+26 Statheads know that it usually takes roughly 70 games for baseball results to really start meaning something. On the first day of May a year ago, the New York Mets were 17-9 and the Los Angeles Dodgers were 12-16. Needless to say, both these teams’ fortunes would change: The Mets immediately collapsed into oblivion; the Dodgers went 80-55 the rest of the way and made the World Series. So the sensible move would be to sit tight and ignore the standings for a few more weeks.But we obviously aren’t going to do that — it’s too much fun to speculate about which hot starts are for real. And MLB’s first full month had plenty of interesting results: As some favorites’ playoff chances have receded, other teams have put themselves in strong postseason position already. Here are the teams that have improved the most in our MLB Elo ratings since opening day: PhilliesNL East16-1215191521+2+9 Sources: Baseball-Reference.com, Baseball Databank DodgersNL West19-1215621566+4+9 read more

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KARYANNA NOT IN JAIL RELEASED WITH GPS MONITORING

KARYANNA NOT IN JAIL RELEASED WITH GPS MONITORING

first_imgFacebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppProvidenciales, 20 Nov 2014 – Karyanna Cox is not in police custody; the young woman, who allegedly attacked someone with a dangerous weapon according to the St Lucie County Sheriff’s office was since November 13th; last week Thursday released on her own reconnaissance or ROR(ed) with the conditions being that she would have to be monitored by GPS and must have no contact with the so called victim in the matter. Many were not happy about reporting of the story on the arrest of Karyanna Cox, a graphic design student at Indian River State College and some are expressing as much as the shocking case came to light late yesterday. Nonetheless, Magnetic Media has been in touch with the Port St Lucie County Courthouse where it is confirmed that 19 year old Karyanna was held for one night after being arrested on November 12th for a felony. We also learned that because the court has not yet filed the information including what precisely Karyanna will be charged with, there is no new court date as yet. While some are furious, others are calling for increased prayers for the country’s youth and its people as a barrage of unfortunate stories about TCI women living abroad have surfaced in the past four months. Two involved women likely coping with Postpartum Depression; one taking her own life after allegedly hurting her three-month old son, while the other is charged with the murder of her six-year old daughter; now Karyanna, a promising graduate of Clement Howell High who is an American citizen and who yesterday marked her 19th birthday is soon to be arraigned. Cox is the daughter of GSS Deputy Secretary Russell Cox; her mother, Kay Cox, is a teacher at Ianthe Pratt Primary. Related Items:clement howell high school, ianthe pratt, indian river state college, karyann cox, kay cox, russel cox, st. lucie county Eagles win again at InterHigh Championships National Heritage Month ends Clement Howell High get their hands dirty for World Wetlands Day 2016 Recommended for you Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApplast_img read more

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San Diego Unified school police arrest man suspected of sexual battery against

San Diego Unified school police arrest man suspected of sexual battery against

first_img June 1, 2018 KUSI Newsroom SAN DIEGO (KUSI) — The San Diego Unified School District School Police Department arrested an individual Friday afternoon in connection with an incident involving a student at Bell Middle School.A female student told school officials a man chased her as she walked to school Friday morning at approximately 7:30 a.m.The student told school police that a man grabbed her and exposed himself before she was able to break free and make it to campus. School officials immediately contacted School Police.While investigating the case, School Police located the suspect at a nearby fast-food restaurant, taking him into custody without incident around 12:50 p.m.The 26-year-old male suspect is being booked into county jail on charges of sexual battery, indecent exposure, false imprisonment and annoying or molesting a child.“This arrest is the result of the outstanding police work by Chief Mike Marquez and the entire School Police force. We are grateful for their quick action and commitment to keeping our students safe,” said Superintendent Cindy Marten KUSI Newsroom, Posted: June 1, 2018 San Diego Unified school police arrest man suspected of sexual battery against student at Bell Middle School Categories: Local San Diego News FacebookTwitterlast_img read more

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Republican Chairmen Take Aim at Defense Budget

Republican Chairmen Take Aim at Defense Budget

first_img Dan Cohen AUTHOR The chairmen of the House and Senate Armed Services committees on Tuesday decried the Pentagon’s fiscal 2017 budget request for shortchanging national security amid a litany of growing threats.“I am disappointed that this request does not adhere to the budget agreement made just last fall,” Mac Thornberry (R-Texas), chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, said in a statement. “Last year, Congress passed the Bipartisan Budget Act, which establishes a minimum level of funding for our military. I hoped such an agreement would provide some budget stability and begin to rebuild our military. Unfortunately, this administration continues to play budgetary games with our country’s security and diminishes what credibility it had left,” Thornberry stated.Last week, Thornberry, along with 33 other GOP members on his panel, urged House Budget Chairman Tom Price (R-Ga.) to increase defense spending by as much as $23 billion beyond the Obama administration’s request through an increase in the department’s overseas contingency operations (OCO) account, reported Defense News.Thornberry and other GOP defense hawks argue that the two-year bipartisan budget agreement reached last October set a floor for the OCO account, allowing funds in the account to be raised above $59 billion. The administration and congressional Democrats view the deal as setting a ceiling, however, setting up a fight for the second straight year over the use of DOD’s war fund to sidestep the statutory spending caps.Senate Armed Services Chairman John McCain (R-Ariz.) told reporters Tuesday he would “raise hell” to increase DOD’s budget and invoked the Islamic State-inspired attack on San Bernardino, Calif., according to the story.“I just think the numbers are wrong,” McCain said. “It’s $17 billion short of last year, and in the intervening time, we’ve had attacks on the United States. When will these people wake up? There will be more attacks on the United States of America; this is not the time to be cutting defense spending.”last_img read more

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